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Post by Sio on Feb 16, 2024 19:21:49 GMT 1
Should be winning every game really
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rab030
Iain Dunn Terrier
Posts: 448
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Post by rab030 on Feb 16, 2024 19:27:15 GMT 1
Given the points split this season and with 4 teams at the top with more than the usual average, it’s more likely that this season will be a low number to stay up. I think 50 points will be more than enough and can easily see that number being 46/47. Obviously a long way to go and we all know it’s a weird division and things can change quickly - so I think we should still be targeting 50+ points.
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King Curtis
Jimmy Glazzard Terrier
Bacon is good for me
Posts: 4,856
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Post by King Curtis on Feb 16, 2024 19:29:36 GMT 1
Think we need another 20 points to avoid the drop. Just looked at this some more.. another 20 points is ridiculously OTT. For the current bottom 3 to get 53 points: QPR have to average 1.71 points per game - Play Off Team form. Weds have to average 1.93 PPG - Top end Play Off Team form. Rov'rum have to average 2.26 PPG - which is 104 points over a full season! Re-think needed?
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Post by King Neil on Feb 16, 2024 19:53:46 GMT 1
Just go through the Owls an qpr fixtures and count the amount of games each can realistically win...they both have top teams to play
Rotherham and Wednesday are down imo and if you give Qpr a generous 5 more wins it gives them 44 points
I tried to be Conservative with Towns fixtures and I have us finishing on 55 points
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drewden
Andy Booth Terrier
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Post by drewden on Feb 16, 2024 20:21:28 GMT 1
Three points in the game that I intend to come down to from Bonnie Scotland please André ! 👍 (Huddersfield Town v Birmingham City on Saturday 27th April 2024) Stay till May, and go to wembley.
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Post by portugalterrier on Feb 16, 2024 20:27:17 GMT 1
Think we need another 20 points to avoid the drop. You genuinely think one of Rotherham, Wednesday or QPR are going to finish on 53 points? No, but there are no guarantees we will get to 54.
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Post by portugalterrier on Feb 16, 2024 20:31:46 GMT 1
Think we need another 20 points to avoid the drop. Just looked at this some more.. another 20 points is ridiculously OTT. For the current bottom 3 to get 53 points: QPR have to average 1.71 points per game - Play Off Team form. Weds have to average 1.93 PPG - Top end Play Off Team form. Rov'rum have to average 2.26 PPG - which is 104 points over a full season! Re-think needed? No rethink required, your making an assumption we are going to get another 20 points, what if we don’t get those points, and one of the above have a stunning run of results, like Warnock achieved last season.
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King Curtis
Jimmy Glazzard Terrier
Bacon is good for me
Posts: 4,856
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Post by King Curtis on Feb 16, 2024 20:35:45 GMT 1
You genuinely think one of Rotherham, Wednesday or QPR are going to finish on 53 points? No, but there are no guarantees we will get to 54. I know their aren't - we won't need to.
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King Curtis
Jimmy Glazzard Terrier
Bacon is good for me
Posts: 4,856
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Post by King Curtis on Feb 16, 2024 20:36:18 GMT 1
Just looked at this some more.. another 20 points is ridiculously OTT. For the current bottom 3 to get 53 points: QPR have to average 1.71 points per game - Play Off Team form. Weds have to average 1.93 PPG - Top end Play Off Team form. Rov'rum have to average 2.26 PPG - which is 104 points over a full season! Re-think needed? No rethink required, your making an assumption we are going to get another 20 points, what if we don’t get those points, and one of the above have a stunning run of results, like Warnock achieved last season. Where have I made that assumption?
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terrier17
David Wagner Terrier
The Exclamation Terrier!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
[M0:5]
Posts: 2,779
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Post by terrier17 on Feb 16, 2024 20:39:43 GMT 1
Just looked at this some more.. another 20 points is ridiculously OTT. For the current bottom 3 to get 53 points: QPR have to average 1.71 points per game - Play Off Team form. Weds have to average 1.93 PPG - Top end Play Off Team form. Rov'rum have to average 2.26 PPG - which is 104 points over a full season! Re-think needed? No rethink required, your making an assumption we are going to get another 20 points, what if we don’t get those points, and one of the above have a stunning run of results, like Warnock achieved last season. But they don’t have a Warnock to fall back on like we did, nor have looked like stringing any form together whatsoever.
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Post by 2ellandback on Feb 16, 2024 20:41:31 GMT 1
No rethink required, your making an assumption we are going to get another 20 points, what if we don’t get those points, and one of the above have a stunning run of results, like Warnock achieved last season. Where have I made that assumption? You clearly haven’t. 50 points should be plenty.
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Post by portugalterrier on Feb 16, 2024 20:42:43 GMT 1
No rethink required, your making an assumption we are going to get another 20 points, what if we don’t get those points, and one of the above have a stunning run of results, like Warnock achieved last season. Where have I made that assumption? Your assumption is that all the three clubs won’t get more points than Town, Town lose tomorrow , QPR win and we’re 2 points ahead, anything can happen, my opinion is we should need 20 points to avoid having to worry. In 2 and a bit months one of us will be correct.
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Post by portugalterrier on Feb 16, 2024 20:45:00 GMT 1
Where have I made that assumption? You clearly haven’t. 50 points should be plenty. And I’m saying 54 should be plenty, it’s opinions, time will tell.
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King Curtis
Jimmy Glazzard Terrier
Bacon is good for me
Posts: 4,856
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Post by King Curtis on Feb 16, 2024 20:51:14 GMT 1
Where have I made that assumption? Your assumption is that all the three clubs won’t get more points than Town, Town lose tomorrow , QPR win and we’re 2 points ahead, anything can happen, my opinion is we should need 20 points to avoid having to worry. In 2 and a bit months one of us will be correct. I've not made that assumption either. Can you comprehend written word?
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Post by isleofmanterrier on Feb 16, 2024 20:55:38 GMT 1
Another thing not taken into account is that whilst it is possible one of the sides below us has an upturn in form and reaches 50-55 points, there’s currently 5/6 teams around us so we’d only have to be better than one of those for that not to matter.
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Post by 2ellandback on Feb 16, 2024 20:56:29 GMT 1
You clearly haven’t. 50 points should be plenty. And I’m saying 54 should be plenty, it’s opinions, time will tell. My main point was that he never suggested we would get 54 points, quite the opposite. Just had a look at what the professionals expect. Sporting Index take trades as follows: Town 48.5 - 50 QPR 44.5 - 46 Wednesday 41.5 - 43 Rotherham 30.5 - 32
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Post by terriers2000 on Feb 16, 2024 21:09:39 GMT 1
Win against Rotherham , millwall, Swansea and Birmingham
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King Curtis
Jimmy Glazzard Terrier
Bacon is good for me
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Post by King Curtis on Feb 16, 2024 22:41:12 GMT 1
Win against Rotherham , millwall, Swansea and Birmingham It won't work like that but 4 wins and a couple of draws should be enough.
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Post by irverino on Feb 18, 2024 13:50:42 GMT 1
And I’m saying 54 should be plenty, it’s opinions, time will tell. My main point was that he never suggested we would get 54 points, quite the opposite. Just had a look at what the professionals expect. Sporting Index take trades as follows: Town 48.5 - 50 QPR 44.5 - 46 Wednesday 41.5 - 43 Rotherham 30.5 - 32 Rohl took over at Wendies 3 points from 11 games & Cifuentes at QPR was 8 points from 14 games, currently you could predict SW (45 pts) & QPR (48 pts)......Rotherham Utd will have a big say on matters with 8 of the ten teams above them to play starting with QPR away next Sat.
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Post by dezzly on Feb 19, 2024 10:55:02 GMT 1
If you look at the form table Swansea stoke Millwall are all In poor form.They are going tne wrong way whereas we are tending more upwards,it’s not really playing out league table wise to the bottom 3 because qpr and Wednesday are also in better nick than those other 3. Personally think we’ll have enough,reckon 48 points does it,4 wins and a couple of draws in the last 14….we have 3 wins and 3 draws in the last 10 for reference and 7 of those games came under Moore. Quick look to Saturday and Watford haven’t won at home in 6…,they’ll be expected to come at us which could play into our hands…let’s hope so.
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Post by irverino on Feb 19, 2024 11:12:46 GMT 1
If you look at the form table Swansea stoke Millwall are all In poor form.They are going tne wrong way whereas we are tending more upwards,it’s not really playing out league table wise to the bottom 3 because qpr and Wednesday are also in better nick than those other 3. Personally think we’ll have enough,reckon 48 points does it,4 wins and a couple of draws in the last 14….we have 3 wins and 3 draws in the last 10 for reference and 7 of those games came under Moore. Quick look to Saturday and Watford haven’t won at home in 6…,they’ll be expected to come at us which could play into our hands…let’s hope so. Worthy did 4 games with 2 wins & 2 defeats (1.5 ppg)......AB matching him takes us above 50.
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Post by Gag N Bone Man on Feb 19, 2024 15:54:37 GMT 1
12 matches between now and the end of April. I think we'll get between 15 and 20 points from those.
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