Last 8 games thoughts.

[castlehillterrier]

Just taking a look at the fixtures remaining and I really think we will be ok this season, especially when you look at others fixtures for sure we have some massive home games coming up that will define our season. I think the points total to survive could be on the low side around 48points might see you safe this year. 

my predictions 
Coventry H - They are in great form and a decent side, we can also be good at home especially against a team we can break on, really difficult to call and it could easily be a win but I will predict 2-1 defeat
Stoke A - Stoke are poor at home and I think we will be up for this one, I would take a point now but lets go beat them win 0-2
Millwall H - I think we will be due a home win and 2 wins on the bounce Town win 3-1
Preston A - we are always poor away at preston 1-0 
Bristol City A - Can see us getting a point here 1-1
Swansea H - Again I see a point here 1-1 
Brimingham H - Huge huge game and 3 points 2-0
Ipswich A - I can see this been a game where nothing is needed for either team, if we do need something then I think we can get it Ipswich more than likley rest a number of players for the palyoffs 1 point if needed, lose if we are already safe. 

Total points 50points and safe 
 
Birmingham, QPR A, Preston H, Leicester A, Cardiff H, Coventry H, Rotherham A, HTAFC A, Norwich H. 
QPR, Birmingham H, Swansea A, Sheff W H, Plymouth A, Hull A, Preston H, Leeds H, Coventry A (they need results from next 4 games final 4 difficult) 
Sheff Weds, Swansea H, Boro A, QPR A, Norwich H, Stoke H, Blackburn A, West Brom H, Sunderland A (massive games with teams around them fancy them to just survive) 
Stoke, Hull A, HTAFC H, West Brom H, Swansea A, Sheff W A, Plymouth H, Southampton A, Bristol City H (tricky playing 3 teams around them and these games will be massive for them) 
Plymouth, Norwich A, Bristol City H, Rotherham A, QPR H, Leicester H, Stoke A, Millwall A, Hull H (I dont see a lot of wins for Plymouth in remaing games) 
Blackburn, Ipswich H, Sunderland A, Southampton H, Bristol City A, Leeds A, Sheff Weds H, Coventry H, Leicester A. (Probably the most difficult run in and they are in poor form, I think we will finish above them) 
Millwall, Rotherham A, HTAFC A, Leicester H, Cardiff H, Sunderland A, Plymouth H, Swansea A (think they will be safe with at least 2 wins from these)

prediction 
17th Sheff Weds 53points 
18th QPR 51points 
19th HTAFC 50points 
20th Birmingham 50points
21st Stoke 49points 
22nd Plymouth 47points 
23rd BLackburn 46points  

For sure we need to play a lot better than away at Rotherham, we just need to pick up some points when others are playing each other and massive home games like Birmingham and Milwall. 

[dugnet]

I'd say you are either brave or a bit daft to predict anything in the Championship. I wouldn't call the next game, never mind the other seven.

[castlehillterrier]

Mar 18, 2024 11:26:16 GMT 1 dugnet said:

I'd say you are either brave or a bit daft to predict anything in the Championship. I wouldn't call the next game, never mind the other seven.

maybe brave, but I am not sure I would swap our fixtures for any of the other teams, hopefully the players can lift there performances enough to see us over the line. 

Bristol City, Swansea and Ipswich might all have nothing to play for by the time we play them. 

[dugnet]

Mar 18, 2024 11:45:59 GMT 1 castlehillterrier said:

Mar 18, 2024 11:26:16 GMT 1 dugnet said:

I'd say you are either brave or a bit daft to predict anything in the Championship. I wouldn't call the next game, never mind the other seven.

maybe brave, but I am not sure I would swap our fixtures for any of the other teams, hopefully the players can lift there performances enough to see us over the line. 

Bristol City, Swansea and Ipswich might all have nothing to play for by the time we play them. 

The problem is this team couldn't go and beat a very poor Rotherham on Saturday. To be fair they put in a decent shift against Leeds. I couldn't be confident right now which team will turn up for any of the remaining games. Play like they did against Leeds they have chance. Play like they did against WBA (2nd half), Cardiff and Rotherham then they have zero chance.

[The Sheriff Strikes Back]

I just can't see 50 points being enough this season, but given our remaining fixtures, and the fact that, despite some disappointing results, things on the field have been a lot more hopeful since Moore's departure, survival is still very acheivable

Play like we did against Watford and Leeds, and we'll be fine, play like we did against Cardiff and Rotherham, and we're finished.

[ram]

Mar 18, 2024 11:51:54 GMT 1 dugnet said:

Mar 18, 2024 11:45:59 GMT 1 castlehillterrier said:

maybe brave, but I am not sure I would swap our fixtures for any of the other teams, hopefully the players can lift there performances enough to see us over the line. 

Bristol City, Swansea and Ipswich might all have nothing to play for by the time we play them. 

The problem is this team couldn't go and beat a very poor Rotherham on Saturday. To be fair they put in a decent shift against Leeds. I couldn't be confident right now which team will turn up for any of the remaining games. Play like they did against Leeds they have chance. Play like they did against WBA (2nd half), Cardiff and Rotherham then they have zero chance.

Beat me to it.I was going to say exactly the same

[Mr Breitside]

Mar 18, 2024 11:18:15 GMT 1 castlehillterrier said:

Just taking a look at the fixtures remaining and I really think we will be ok this season, especially when you look at others fixtures for sure we have some massive home games coming up that will define our season. I think the points total to survive could be on the low side around 48points might see you safe this year. 

my predictions 
Coventry H - They are in great form and a decent side, we can also be good at home especially against a team we can break on, really difficult to call and it could easily be a win but I will predict 2-1 defeat
Stoke A - Stoke are poor at home and I think we will be up for this one, I would take a point now but lets go beat them win 0-2
Millwall H - I think we will be due a home win and 2 wins on the bounce Town win 3-1
Preston A - we are always poor away at preston 1-0 
Bristol City A - Can see us getting a point here 1-1
Swansea H - Again I see a point here 1-1 
Brimingham H - Huge huge game and 3 points 2-0
Ipswich A - I can see this been a game where nothing is needed for either team, if we do need something then I think we can get it Ipswich more than likley rest a number of players for the palyoffs 1 point if needed, lose if we are already safe. 

Total points 50points and safe 
 
Birmingham, QPR A, Preston H, Leicester A, Cardiff H, Coventry H, Rotherham A, HTAFC A, Norwich H. 
QPR, Birmingham H, Swansea A, Sheff W H, Plymouth A, Hull A, Preston H, Leeds H, Coventry A (they need results from next 4 games final 4 difficult) 
Sheff Weds, Swansea H, Boro A, QPR A, Norwich H, Stoke H, Blackburn A, West Brom H, Sunderland A (massive games with teams around them fancy them to just survive) 
Stoke, Hull A, HTAFC H, West Brom H, Swansea A, Sheff W A, Plymouth H, Southampton A, Bristol City H (tricky playing 3 teams around them and these games will be massive for them) 
Plymouth, Norwich A, Bristol City H, Rotherham A, QPR H, Leicester H, Stoke A, Millwall A, Hull H (I dont see a lot of wins for Plymouth in remaing games) 
Blackburn, Ipswich H, Sunderland A, Southampton H, Bristol City A, Leeds A, Sheff Weds H, Coventry H, Leicester A. (Probably the most difficult run in and they are in poor form, I think we will finish above them) 
Millwall, Rotherham A, HTAFC A, Leicester H, Cardiff H, Sunderland A, Plymouth H, Swansea A (think they will be safe with at least 2 wins from these)

prediction 
17th Sheff Weds 53points 
18th QPR 51points 
19th HTAFC 50points 
20th Birmingham 50points
21st Stoke 49points 
22nd Plymouth 47points 
23rd BLackburn 46points  

For sure we need to play a lot better than away at Rotherham, we just need to pick up some points when others are playing each other and massive home games like Birmingham and Milwall. 

Will this change if/when Plymouth decide to sack their manager and appoint warnock ?

[runner76]

Mar 18, 2024 11:54:30 GMT 1 The Sheriff Strikes Back said:

I just can't see 50 points being enough this season, but given our remaining fixtures, and the fact that, despite some disappointing results, things on the field have been a lot more hopeful since Moore's departure, survival is still very acheivable

Play like we did against Watford and Leeds, and we'll be fine, play like we did against Cardiff and Rotherham, and we're finished.

......taking hope that for the last 8 games we should have the majority of players back (assuming they do not all get injured in training......) so a fuller set of players to choose from, few weeks to get drilled on the tactics of AB, and playing mainly teams that are not fighting for anything top end of table, it is totally in our hands to get safe.

Which I think we will.

[VLP Fan Club]

Doomed.

[Bassingham Terrier]

We might beat Brum, but the most-winnable games - QPR away, Rotherham away, Plymouth home - have all gone.
Can't see any way out of this mess.

[ldotm]

Impossible to predict this league. We have always seemed to find a way to stay up recently, hopefully our luck hasn’t run out.

Regardless, Andre needs to get a tune out of them sharpish because we can’t afford to leave ourselves with too much to do.,

[Made In Yorkshire]

We are second favourites (7/4) to go down according to Bet365. Wednesday are favourite (8/11).
If you are so sure about Plymouth (4/1) and Blackburn (also 4/1) I presume you've put your money on them?

[drewden]

I think the Stoke match is massive and will decide who will go down, a draw could keep both teams up, thats how tight it will be till the last match.

Could be a stormer of a game, will Andre set up for a draw.

That's my prediction anyway.

[htfcterry]

If we can't beat the shittest team in the league then I don't see how anyone can predict where the next win(s) come from.

I personally think years of under investment, poor ownership and poor recruitment is now going to catch up with us.

Bring on League one.

[thomo]

I think we'll lose the next two and be three points adrift of safety with 6 left to play (essentially four points adrift with our goal diff). The last three performances suggest we're on a downward trajectory now. Coventry will roast us, and just don't see us performing in front of a hostile crowd at Stoke in what will be a must win for them. Sadly 😢

[sabailand]

Mar 18, 2024 12:59:28 GMT 1 drewden said:

I think the Stoke match is massive and will decide who will go down, a draw could keep both teams up, thats how tight it will be till the last match.

Could be a stormer of a game, will Andre set up for a draw.

That's my prediction anyway.

Our destiny (or Stokes) wont be decided on easter monday.

[paulsg]

Thoughts? - when does the cricket season start?

[Moooooy]

I think we’ll need something against Ipswich on the last day and unfortunately I don’t think we’ll get it.

[Yuta be a terrier]

Staying up depends on one of Ward, Healey or Burgzorg having a purple patch. Can't see where the goals are coming from if it's not one of those 3.

[drewden]

Mar 18, 2024 17:55:51 GMT 1 sabailand said:

Mar 18, 2024 12:59:28 GMT 1 drewden said:

I think the Stoke match is massive and will decide who will go down, a draw could keep both teams up, thats how tight it will be till the last match.

Could be a stormer of a game, will Andre set up for a draw.

That's my prediction anyway.

Our destiny (or Stokes) wont be decided on easter monday.

Will go back to that game end of season if one of us go down.

[shawsie]

None of us have any clue really.
Any team can beat any other in this league.
What WE have to do though is sort ourselves out. Didnt see any of sat but cardiff away was a disgrace as was 2nd half v wba. No passion, no energy, no desire, no quality - unacceptable.
Thats down to the players and coaching team - the fans can back all they want but it matters not one jot if those on the field dont turn up ready and able to perform.

[Million Dollar Babies]

QPR will be fine. They appear to have been the better side in most of their recent games. Not sure how they turned it around as they were awful against us only a few weeks ago.

Millwall will be fine. The bounce from Harris returning has given them enough momentum to stumble to safety.

Blackburn will be fine. They've got a very tough run in but also have some quality players who can produce that bit of magic to win a game when you don't deserve to. I think they'll get enough points from Sunderland, Bristol and Wednesday to survive.

I think it is any 2 from Town, Weds, Plymouth, Stoke and Birmingham

Wednesday - Bannan and Poveda picked up injuries at the weekend. Anything serious and that could be them done. If they're back by the next game then who knows as they've got some very winnable games left to play and picked up a lot of points in 2024.

Plymouth - Seemingly in free fall and fans turning on the manager. 1 win in 9. However, their remaining games look kind to them on paper. If they do bring Warnock in then they'll comfortably get enough points.

Birmingham - This all depends on if Mowbray returns. If he does then it will galvanise them and give that boost to see them over the line. If he doesn't then I think they're down.

Stoke - Not really seen anything of them this season apart from when we played them. Couple of good wins recently suggests they're not completely useless. Can they win all 3 games against us, Wednesday and Plymouth? Certainly possible.

Town - Where are the goals coming from? We need to win 3 of our 4 home games and hopefully pick up the odd point on our travels to get us over 50 points. We've taken 8 points from our last 8 games and also averaging a point per game for the season so it is hard to see how we suddenly start exceeding that but we managed it last season with a poorer side.

Bottom 6 after 46 games

19 - Stoke
20 - Wednesday
21 - Plymouth
22 - Town
23 - Birmingham
24 - Rotherham

[The King's Head 1230]

The penny finally seems to be dropping

[harris]

52+ points I reckon. Which we won’t get.

[rab030]

Mar 18, 2024 22:54:21 GMT 1 harris said:

52+ points I reckon. Which we won’t get.

I really can’t see 7 out of 8 teams ALL getting to 52+ points.
Some will maybe but not all of them IMO.
I think 48/49 will get you safe - which we still might not get.

[Torquayterrier]

But Jack's supercomputer has us down to survive and its never wrong. Millwall, Swansea and Birmingham home games all 'easy' apparently.

[Jack]

Mar 18, 2024 23:38:31 GMT 1 Torquayterrier said:

But Jack's supercomputer has us down to survive and its never wrong. Millwall, Swansea and Birmingham home games all 'easy' apparently.

Whilst the servers are quietly humming away in the study I am sat comfortabley in the lounge safe in the knowledge that 49 points sees us safe for another year. Sleep easy fellow terriers.

[dxterrier]

I always thought if we slipped into the bottom 3 with less than 15 games left we would go down as I think its a massive blow confidence wise, self doubt sets in. While some of our escapes have been great they have all had some element of luck, and sooner or later luck runs out, oh its still possible that the international break will give AB time to get some steel into the squad, as thats whats needed but anymore performances like the last 2 and I doubt we will get to 40 points let alone the 50-54 needed. Seen a lot of people on here saying the squad is simply not good enough, I worry that the squad thinks its not good enough and look on the verge of giving up

[aksaiblue]

We will see what AB is made of; I am certain that the players have it in them to bag the points needed.

[Torquayterrier]

Mar 19, 2024 0:29:39 GMT 1 Jack said:

Mar 18, 2024 23:38:31 GMT 1 Torquayterrier said:

But Jack's supercomputer has us down to survive and its never wrong. Millwall, Swansea and Birmingham home games all 'easy' apparently.

Whilst the servers are quietly humming away in the study I am sat comfortabley in the lounge safe in the knowledge that 49 points sees us safe for another year. Sleep easy fellow terriers.

How much have you lumped on then? If it never fails it must be like free money?